Probability & Statistics (HS)
Key points
Conditional Probability
The probability that A happens, given that you already know B happened. It is what tells a doctor how much a positive test result actually means, and what lets a spam filter judge an email once it has seen the words inside it.
Bayes' Theorem
A rule for updating what you believed before once new evidence arrives. It is the single most important formula here — it is behind an AI deciding whether a photo shows a cat or a dog.
The Normal Distribution
Heights, test scores, measurement errors — a huge number of things in nature pile up around the average μ in a bell shape. About 68% of the values land within μ±σ, and about 95% within μ±2σ. This one shape is the foundation of factory quality control and of financial risk management.
Expected Value
The long-run average of something random — what you would get per try if you repeated it a huge number of times. It is how lotteries, insurance policies and investments are judged.
Hypothesis Testing
A way to ask whether a result is real or just luck — did the drug actually work, or did the numbers happen to fall that way? The p-value answers it: if p < 0.05, the result is called significant, meaning chance alone is a poor explanation. Scientific papers, AI model evaluations and A/B tests use this every single day.
Jobs that use this
Biostatistician (Pharmaceuticals)$135k
Risk Manager (Finance)$160k
Machine Learning Engineer$148k
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