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#risk
1 articles
01
2026-08-29
·
Engineering Process
·
★ MEMBER
·
10 min read
Estimation and Scope — The Cone of Uncertainty and How to Negotiate
Estimates miss because a question about a range gets answered with a point. The cone of uncertainty, three-point estimates, why buffers don't add up the way you think, reference class forecasting, and how to turn a deadline conversation into a scope conversation.