PaperLens
紙
Students
Professional
JA
EN
◐
Sign in with Google
Sign in
Read
Home
Close reading
New
Textbook
Go deeper
Learn
Lab
Landscape
Contributors
Glossary
You
Search
All-access
My Page
#mape
1 articles
01
2026-08-06
·
Time Series
·
★ MEMBER
·
9 min read
Time-Series Forecasting from Scratch — From Classical Methods to Foundation Models
What makes forecasting different from ordinary regression is that the rows are not independent and the test set is always in the future. Autocorrelation and stationarity first, then the intuition behind ARIMA, seasonal and trend decomposition, and where deep and foundation models actually sit. The last third is evaluation — no random splits, how to backtest, and why MAPE lies.